← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 64% | 1.48 |
| Draw | 21% | 4.52 |
| Cosenza win | 14% | 7.06 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −1.25 | 53% | 1.83 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio −1.25 | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 60' | ⚽ | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 68' | 🟨 | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Jeremy Toljan · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 85' | 🟨 | Charlys · Cosenza |
| 86' | ⚽ | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 90' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Lipani · US Sassuolo Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 9 |
| 11 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.36 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 211.00 | 211.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.05 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.93 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1608.70 | 1434.55 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 16.22 | -22.53 |
| eye test v1 | 0.46 | 0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.65 | 0.27 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.80 | 53.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 12.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.32 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.50 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.71 |
| league points | 43.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 12.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.80 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 3.10 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.26 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.40 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 1.15 | 0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.30 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | 0.65 | -0.67 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.80 | -0.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.40 |