← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 29, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 37% | 2.67 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Mantova win | 30% | 3.31 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova +0.25 | 55% | 1.80 |
| Reggiana +0.25 | 45% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | ⚽ | Alessandro Sersanti · Reggiana |
| 18' | 🟨 | Mattia Muroni · Mantova |
| 32' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 36' | 🟨 | Davis Mensah · Mantova |
| 44' | 🟨 | Alex Redolfi · Mantova |
| 59' | 🟨 | Stefano Cella · Mantova |
| 76' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 85' | ⚽ | Matteo Maggio · Reggiana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Francesco Galuppini · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 6 | Shots | 17 |
| 1 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 5 |
| 10 | Fouls | 27 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| coach days | 547.00 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| 181.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 2.15 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.56 |
| elo | 1482.23 | 1410.53 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.78 | -2.61 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.08 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.27 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.80 | 56.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.10 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | — |
| league points | 23.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 4.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.20 | 44.20 |
| rest days | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.21 | 1.11 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.76 | -0.70 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 4.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.07 | -0.41 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.58 | -0.99 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |