← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol win | 42% | 2.32 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Cittadella win | 26% | 3.84 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sudtirol −0.25 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ (og) | Federico Casolari · Sudtirol |
| 30' | 🟨 | Karim Zedadka · Sudtirol |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alessandro Mallamo · Sudtirol |
| 45' | ⚽ | Federico Casolari · Cittadella |
| 54' | 🟨 | Raphael Kofler · Sudtirol |
| 56' | 🟨 | Simone Tronchin · Cittadella |
| 80' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 11 | Shots | 17 |
| 2 | On target | 6 |
| 4 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sudtirol | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.66 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.60 |
| coach days | 25.00 |
| venue | Stadio Marco Druso |
| 86.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.17 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1410.06 | 1392.85 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -18.56 | 0.75 |
| eye test v1 | -0.26 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.87 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.40 | 50.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.14 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.67 |
| league points | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 73.20 | 73.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 42.00 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.94 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | -1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.20 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.90 | -0.58 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.10 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -0.83 | -0.62 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.09 | -0.05 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |