← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 36% | 2.70 |
| Draw | 36% | 2.70 |
| Juve Stabia win | 28% | 3.53 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 56% | 1.76 |
| Reggiana −0.25 | 44% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 69% | 1.39 |
| Over | 31% | 3.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | ⚽ | Manolo Portanova · Reggiana |
| 22' | 🟨 | Davide Buglio · Juve Stabia |
| 24' | ⚽ | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 28' | 🟨 | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 42' | 🟨 | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · Reggiana |
| 48' | 🟨 | Marco Bellich · Juve Stabia |
| 82' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 83' | 🟨 | Kevin Piscopo · Juve Stabia |
| 84' | 🟨 | Andrea Meroni · Reggiana |
| 88' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 13 |
| 9 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 2 |
| 19 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.78 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| coach days | 178.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 544.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.13 | 2.11 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.46 |
| elo | 1400.96 | 1446.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -8.36 | 29.35 |
| eye test v1 | -0.48 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.40 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 52.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 0.88 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.74 |
| league points | 18.00 | 28.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 77.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 51.40 |
| rest days | 4.91 | 4.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.26 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 1.56 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.39 | 0.07 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.64 | 0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.32 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |