← Serie B 2024-25 · Thu, Dec 26, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 38% | 2.58 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.00 |
| Catanzaro win | 30% | 3.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 54% | 1.78 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 46% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | 🟥 | Alessandro Caporale · Cosenza |
| 38' | 🟨 | Tommaso D'Orazio · Cosenza |
| 54' | 🟨 | Charlys · Cosenza |
| 65' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 66' | 🟨 | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 77' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Riccardo Ciervo · Cosenza |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Riccardo Ciervo · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 5 |
| 1 | Corners | 8 |
| 17 | Fouls | 11 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.37 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 208.00 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| 178.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.22 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.46 | 2.42 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1434.16 | 1508.03 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -25.20 | 5.66 |
| eye test v1 | 0.22 | -0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.20 | 50.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.94 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.80 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 20.00 | 23.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 83.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 60.80 | 56.60 |
| rest days | 5.00 | 4.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.35 |
| season ppg | 1.11 | 1.28 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.20 | -4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 17.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.91 | 0.94 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.70 | -0.08 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | 0.83 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |