← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 22, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Draw | 33% | 3.00 |
| Cesena win | 29% | 3.46 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 54% | 1.79 |
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 46% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 63% | 1.54 |
| Over | 37% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 21' | ⚽ | Romano Floriani Mussolini · Juve Stabia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Niccolò Fortini · Juve Stabia |
| 74' | 🟨 | Demba Thiam · Juve Stabia |
| 79' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Cesena |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joseph Ceesay · Cesena |
| 84' | 🟨 | Joseph Ceesay · Cesena |
| 84' | 🟥 | Joseph Ceesay · Cesena |
| 85' | 🟨 | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 5 |
| 2 | On target | 1 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 17 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Juve Stabia | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.49 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.79 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Romeo Menti |
| coach days | 540.00 | 174.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 4.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 6.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.27 | 2.50 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.61 |
| elo | 1436.60 | 1476.77 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.16 | 2.32 |
| eye test v1 | -0.62 | 1.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.15 | 0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.85 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| league points | 25.00 | 25.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.40 | 82.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.40 | 54.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.28 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 1.47 | 1.47 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.03 | 0.75 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 6.60 |
| state index | -0.28 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |