← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: A. Colombo
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 34% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cittadella win | 33% | 3.03 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Cittadella +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 62% | 1.55 |
| Over | 38% | 2.57 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Stefano Pettinari · Reggiana |
| 62' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 65' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 74' | 🟨 | Mario Ravasio · Cittadella |
| 78' | ⚽ | Simone Tronchin · Cittadella |
| 84' | ⚽ | Cedric Gondo · Reggiana |
| 86' | 🟨 | Mario Sampirisi · Reggiana |
| 89' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Matteo Maggio · Reggiana |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 1 |
| 28 | Fouls | 18 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.31 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| coach days | 81.00 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| 173.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -2.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.76 | 2.00 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1378.88 | 1414.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.89 | 6.61 |
| eye test v1 | -1.01 | -0.45 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.13 | -0.16 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 56.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.67 |
| league points | 15.00 | 18.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 76.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 42.00 |
| rest days | 6.09 | 7.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.06 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | -0.64 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.20 |
| state index | -1.11 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.02 | -0.64 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |