← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 21, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese win | 41% | 2.33 |
| Draw | 33% | 2.90 |
| Cosenza win | 26% | 3.89 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.49 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 23' | 🟨 | Julián Illanes · Carrarese |
| 29' | 🟨 | Tommaso Fumagalli · Cosenza |
| 30' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 32' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 32' | 🟥 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simone Zanon · Carrarese |
| 77' | ⚽ | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
| 78' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 12 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 9 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.30 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.39 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| coach days | 355.00 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| 203.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.35 | 3.62 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1464.36 | 1441.82 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -10.91 | -5.56 |
| eye test v1 | 0.25 | 0.39 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.06 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 52.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.92 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.76 |
| league points | 20.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 13.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 57.00 | 63.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.18 | 1.18 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 4.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.78 | 1.11 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| state index | -0.13 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.57 | 0.66 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.60 |