← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 15, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 42% | 2.34 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.10 |
| Juve Stabia win | 27% | 3.74 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Juve Stabia −0.25 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 50% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 61% | 1.57 |
| Over | 39% | 2.48 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 18' | 🟨 | Andrea Adorante · Juve Stabia |
| 38' | 🟨 | Dylan Bronn · Salernitana |
| 45' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Amatucci · Salernitana |
| 66' | 🟨 | Davide Buglio · Juve Stabia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Leonardo Candellone · Juve Stabia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Juve Stabia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.75 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 44.00 | 533.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.99 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1436.17 | 1424.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.51 | -4.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.27 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | 0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.80 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.70 |
| league points | 17.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.20 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.00 | 53.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.86 |
| scorer concentration | 0.14 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.06 | 1.38 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.60 |
| skill v1 | 0.10 | -0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.32 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.17 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |