← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 15, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Marcenaro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 48% | 2.00 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
| Cittadella win | 23% | 4.69 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
| Cremonese +0.5 | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.80 |
| Over | 47% | 2.09 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 19' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 25' | 🟨 | Francesco Amatucci · Cittadella |
| 68' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 83' | 🟨 | Stefano Piccinini · Cittadella |
| 88' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 89' | 🟨 | Federico Casolari · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 7 | Shots | 9 |
| 0 | On target | 4 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 75.00 | 44.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 1.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.78 | 2.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1376.25 | 1529.69 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -16.04 | -30.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.65 | 0.12 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.16 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 54.70 | 45.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | 1.18 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.90 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | — |
| league points | 14.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.00 | 82.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.60 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.88 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.40 | 2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 14.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.44 | 0.93 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.20 |
| state index | -1.07 | -0.16 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.06 | 0.45 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |