← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 14, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 49% | 2.04 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.50 |
| Cosenza win | 22% | 4.43 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.5 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Cesena −0.5 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 58% | 1.66 |
| Over | 42% | 2.33 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 42' | 🟨 | Christos Kourfalidis · Cosenza |
| 43' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Alessandro Micai · Cosenza |
| 45' | ⚽ | Elayis Tavsan · Cesena |
| 57' | ⚽ | Tommaso Berti · Cesena |
| 70' | ⚽ | Manuel Ricciardi · Cosenza |
| 75' | 🟨 | Jonathan Klinsmann · Cesena |
| 76' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 83' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 87' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 88' | 🟨 | Luca Strizzolo · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Sydney van Hooijdonk · Cesena |
| 90' | 🟥 | Christian Kouan · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 17 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.45 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.40 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 166.00 | 196.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.09 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 6.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.50 | 3.58 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.58 |
| elo | 1469.02 | 1449.58 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 2.23 | 0.21 |
| eye test v1 | 1.15 | 0.13 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.01 | 0.09 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.00 | 50.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.94 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.78 |
| league points | 22.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 79.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.20 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 8.40 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 17.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.06 | 0.85 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.20 |
| state index | 0.07 | -0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.35 | 0.37 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.28 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.80 |