← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Dec 13, 07:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 49% | 1.95 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Bari win | 21% | 5.02 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 50% | 1.94 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 31' | 🟨 | Francesco Vicari · Bari |
| 45' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 49' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 68' | ⚽ | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 73' | 🟨 | Simone Canestrelli · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · Pisa |
| 80' | 🟨 | Mattia Maita · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 17 | Shots | 6 |
| 5 | On target | 1 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 16 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.41 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.77 | 0.70 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 2.60 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 165.00 | 195.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.20 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.70 | 2.32 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.40 |
| elo | 1526.91 | 1500.20 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 30.09 | 26.94 |
| eye test v1 | -0.28 | -0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 51.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.50 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.85 |
| league points | 32.00 | 24.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 69.00 | 79.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 35.80 | 47.00 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.21 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | -5.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 10.00 |
| skill v1 | -1.68 | 0.03 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | 0.44 | 0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.61 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.80 |