← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: M. Ferrieri Caputi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 57% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 24% | 4.00 |
| Sampdoria win | 19% | 5.34 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Sampdoria −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 55% | 1.76 |
| Under | 45% | 2.14 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Kristian Thorstvedt · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 25' | ⚽ | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 30' | 🟨 | Alex Ferrari · Sampdoria |
| 45' | ⚽ | Cas Odenthal · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 60' | 🟨 | Leonardo Benedetti · Sampdoria |
| 64' | ⚽ | Nicholas Pierini · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 74' | ⚽ | Domenico Berardi · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 81' | ⚽ (pen) | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Domenico Berardi · US Sassuolo Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 2 |
| 13 | Fouls | 10 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.39 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.20 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.59 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| 2.60 |
| coach days | 190.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.60 | 1.65 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1602.53 | 1474.96 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 29.34 | -26.72 |
| eye test v1 | 0.78 | -0.23 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.26 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 48.40 | 44.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.96 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.90 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.87 | 0.63 |
| league points | 34.00 | 17.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 53.60 |
| rest days | 8.86 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.24 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 2.27 | 1.13 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.60 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.44 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.20 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | 22.98 |
| state index | 0.96 | -0.60 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.35 | 0.51 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 1.60 |