← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Rutella
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia win | 59% | 1.63 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Cittadella win | 15% | 6.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.75 | 53% | 1.83 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 47% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.69 |
| Over | 43% | 2.26 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Stefano Negro · Cittadella |
| 34' | ⚽ | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 43' | ⚽ (og) | Elhan Kastrati · Spezia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Francesco Pio Esposito · Spezia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Stefano Piccinini · Cittadella |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 53' | ⚽ | Salvatore Esposito · Spezia |
| 54' | 🟨 | Federico Casolari · Cittadella |
| 67' | ⚽ | Przemyslaw Wiśniewski · Spezia |
| 70' | 🟨 | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 8 |
| 10 | On target | 2 |
| 9 | Corners | 4 |
| 22 | Fouls | 12 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Spezia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Alberto Picco |
| coach days | 403.00 | 68.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.78 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1536.88 | 1385.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 15.22 | -5.45 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.76 |
| league points | 30.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 3.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 74.00 | 76.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.37 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.00 | 0.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -2.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.60 | 10.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.48 | -0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.50 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | 0.56 | -0.65 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.67 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |