← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scatena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 54% | 1.79 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Reggiana win | 20% | 4.85 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cremonese −0.75 | 48% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.81 |
| Over | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 41' | 🟨 | Luka Lochoshvili · Cremonese |
| 66' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 79' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Ignacchiti · Reggiana |
| 83' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Libutti · Reggiana |
| 86' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 14 | Shots | 10 |
| 1 | On target | 3 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.57 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 37.00 | 160.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.83 | 1.87 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.51 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1552.78 | 1403.11 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -9.87 | -12.76 |
| eye test v1 | 0.29 | 0.17 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.34 | -0.07 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 55.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 0.95 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.77 |
| league points | 24.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 6.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 55.80 | 43.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.37 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | 0.18 | -0.82 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.44 | -0.57 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |