← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 8, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 40% | 2.45 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.34 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 20' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 30' | 🟨 | Matthias Verreth · Brescia |
| 43' | ⚽ | Tommaso Biasci · Catanzaro |
| 49' | 🟨 | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 56' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 88' | 🟨 | Mattia Compagnon · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Lezzerini · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Federico Bonini · Catanzaro |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 10 |
| 4 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 15 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 160.00 | 7.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.55 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1500.97 | 1445.43 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -3.07 | 2.30 |
| eye test v1 | -0.15 | 0.21 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.30 | 47.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.65 |
| league points | 17.00 | 19.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 10.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 77.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.44 | 0.17 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 1.27 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.80 | 16.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.94 | 0.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.30 | -0.24 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.92 | -0.48 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.19 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |