← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: S. Sozza
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 45% | 2.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Mantova win | 25% | 3.89 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Mantova +0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | ⚽ | Samuele Angori · Pisa |
| 12' | ⚽ | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
| 28' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 43' | 🟨 | Marius Marin · Pisa |
| 49' | 🟨 | Idrissa Touré · Pisa |
| 54' | ⚽ | Leonardo Mancuso · Mantova |
| 65' | 🟨 | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
| 66' | ⚽ | Stefano Moreo · Pisa |
| 88' | 🟨 | Stefano Cella · Mantova |
| 89' | 🟨 | Arturo Calabresi · Pisa |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 15 |
| 7 | On target | 6 |
| 6 | Corners | 3 |
| 23 | Fouls | 9 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Mantova | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.24 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.76 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 525.00 |
| venue | Stadio Danilo Martelli |
| 159.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.55 | 3.74 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.49 |
| elo | 1475.72 | 1516.36 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 3.46 | 17.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.25 | -0.64 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.70 | 50.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.35 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.60 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.76 |
| league points | 18.00 | 29.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.40 | 71.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 59.40 | 40.20 |
| rest days | 6.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.24 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.93 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 12.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.34 | -1.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -0.04 | 0.23 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | -1.13 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.40 |