← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Dec 7, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 43% | 2.28 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Carrarese win | 27% | 3.71 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Carrarese +0.25 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.76 |
| Over | 46% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 70' | 🟨 | Pietro Ceccaroni · Palermo |
| 73' | 🟨 | Gabriele Guarino · Carrarese |
| 77' | ⚽ | Stiven Shpendi · Carrarese |
| 79' | 🟨 | Stiven Shpendi · Carrarese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 12 | Shots | 15 |
| 4 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 7 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Carrarese | Palermo |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio dei Marmi |
| coach days | 341.00 | 189.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.06 | 2.05 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.66 |
| elo | 1453.73 | 1500.24 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -22.91 | 1.57 |
| eye test v1 | -0.55 | 1.42 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.10 | 0.61 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.40 | 56.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.99 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.79 |
| league points | 16.00 | 21.00 |
| league rank | 16.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.40 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.07 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | 9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.20 | 18.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.49 | 0.13 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 1.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 5.30 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 8.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 7.00 |
| state index | -0.36 | 0.31 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.75 | -0.95 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.19 | 0.38 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |