← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 1, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: F. La Penna
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 44% | 2.23 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.30 |
| Carrarese win | 26% | 3.99 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Carrarese −0.25 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 60% | 1.60 |
| Over | 40% | 2.45 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 18' | ⚽ | Szymon Włodarczyk · Salernitana |
| 20' | ⚽ | Roberto Soriano · Salernitana |
| 41' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Verde · Salernitana |
| 75' | 🟨 | Ajdin Hrustić · Salernitana |
| 78' | 🟨 | Leonardo Cerri · Carrarese |
| 80' | 🟨 | Paweł Jaroszyński · Salernitana |
| 89' | ⚽ | Simy · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Panico · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 20 | Shots | 16 |
| 10 | On target | 6 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.30 | 0.19 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 30.00 | 335.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 3.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 1.06 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.04 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.45 |
| elo | 1417.00 | 1470.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -29.12 | 5.85 |
| eye test v1 | -0.34 | -0.71 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.62 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 43.60 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.56 | 0.75 |
| league points | 13.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 18.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 80.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.40 | 54.00 |
| rest days | 8.09 | 8.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 0.93 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -2.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.37 | 0.57 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 2.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.00 |
| state index | -1.06 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.48 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.21 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.15 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.80 |