← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Dec 1, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 41% | 2.35 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 29% | 3.63 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Cesena +0.25 | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.37 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 30' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Ambrosino · Frosinone Calcio |
| 38' | ⚽ | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 40' | 🟨 | Mirko Antonucci · Cesena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Tjaš Begić · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Andrea Ciofi · Cesena |
| 45' | ⚽ | Luigi Canotto · Frosinone Calcio |
| 55' | 🟨 | Raffaele Celia · Cesena |
| 61' | ⚽ (pen) | Riccardo Marchizza · Frosinone Calcio |
| 69' | 🟨 | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 80' | ⚽ | Marco Curto · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 9 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 11 | Fouls | 13 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.14 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.36 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.60 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 61.00 | 153.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.60 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.02 | 2.59 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.59 |
| elo | 1480.74 | 1485.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.74 | 32.05 |
| eye test v1 | -1.14 | 0.65 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | 0.23 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 41.50 | 57.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.16 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.82 | 0.70 |
| league points | 10.00 | 22.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 8.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 71.00 | 83.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 38.20 | 52.20 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 0.71 | 1.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.20 | 5.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.34 | 0.71 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 2.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 2.80 | 5.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 1.33 | 7.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 5.60 |
| state index | -0.53 | 0.37 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.93 | 0.11 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |