← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 30, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: P. Tremolada
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria win | 46% | 2.17 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Catanzaro win | 24% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Sampdoria −0.25 | 53% | 1.84 |
| Catanzaro −0.25 | 47% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | 🟨 | Nicholas Ioannou · Sampdoria |
| 42' | ⚽ | Nikola Sekulov · Sampdoria |
| 44' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 53' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 58' | ⚽ (pen) | Gennaro Tutino · Sampdoria |
| 67' | ⚽ (pen) | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 70' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 71' | 🟨 | Gennaro Tutino · Sampdoria |
| 79' | 🟨 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 79' | 🟥 | Marco Pompetti · Catanzaro |
| 90' | 🟨 |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 5 |
| 7 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 1 |
| 10 | Fouls | 19 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Sampdoria | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.46 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris |
| 90' | 🟨 | Simone Leonardi · Sampdoria |
| 90' | ⚽ | Simone Leonardi · Sampdoria |
| coach days | 121.00 | 152.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.18 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.47 | 0.50 |
| elo | 1475.99 | 1499.93 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.77 | 8.79 |
| eye test v1 | -0.05 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.18 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 42.10 | 51.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.57 | 1.10 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.63 | 0.77 |
| league points | 16.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.60 | 84.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.40 | 56.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.36 |
| season ppg | 1.14 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.20 | 11.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 1.08 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 22.98 | — |
| state index | -0.42 | -0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.27 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |