← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 24, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari win | 52% | 1.84 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Cittadella win | 21% | 5.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Bari −0.5 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cittadella −0.5 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.74 |
| Over | 45% | 2.18 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Kevin Lasagna · Bari |
| 43' | 🟨 | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Giuseppe Sibilli · Bari |
| 45' | ⚽ | Raffaele Maiello · Bari |
| 46' | 🟨 | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 52' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 55' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 82' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 83' | 🟨 | Matteo Angeli · Cittadella |
| 84' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 85' | 🟨 | Costantino Favasuli · Bari |
| 89' | 🟨 | Boris Radunović · Bari |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 13 |
| 5 | On target | 3 |
| 7 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Bari | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.21 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.00 |
| venue | Stadio Comunale San Nicola |
| coach days | 176.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | 0.60 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.89 | 2.70 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.05 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1486.10 | 1392.10 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 13.08 | -10.98 |
| eye test v1 | -0.36 | -0.62 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.17 | -0.20 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.90 | 56.00 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.52 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.40 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.90 | 0.80 |
| league points | 17.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 10.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.40 | 46.20 |
| rest days | 13.91 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.31 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.17 | 0.01 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 2.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 2.60 |
| state index | 0.08 | -0.49 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.30 | -0.32 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.28 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |