← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 04:15 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 53% | 1.85 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Reggiana win | 19% | 5.88 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana −0.75 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Cesena −0.75 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.78 |
| Over | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 8' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 56' | ⚽ | Stefano Pettinari · Reggiana |
| 65' | ⚽ | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Emanuele Adamo · Cesena |
| 66' | 🟨 | Francesco Bardi · Reggiana |
| 70' | 🟨 | Antonio Vergara · Reggiana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Leonardo Mendicino · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 7 |
| 9 | On target | 3 |
| 11 | Corners | 2 |
| 14 | Fouls | 12 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Reggiana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.41 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.48 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.60 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 145.00 | 145.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.14 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | -2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.12 | 2.77 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.42 |
| elo | 1489.12 | 1409.33 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.55 | 0.11 |
| eye test v1 | 0.37 | 0.25 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.35 | 0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.90 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 10.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.70 |
| league points | 21.00 | 14.00 |
| league rank | 4.00 | 16.00 |
| matches since blank | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 84.60 | 77.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.00 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 13.09 | 13.09 |
| scorer concentration | 0.18 | 0.27 |
| season ppg | 1.62 | 1.08 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -4.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 8.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.79 | -0.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.40 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| state index | 0.30 | -0.61 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.46 | -0.28 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.40 |