← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 56% | 1.70 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Salernitana win | 18% | 5.80 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio −0.75 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Salernitana −0.75 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.96 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 16' | 🟨 | Dylan Bronn · Salernitana |
| 41' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 64' | ⚽ | Nicholas Pierini · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 82' | ⚽ | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Moro · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 90' | ⚽ | Kristian Thorstvedt · US Sassuolo Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 23 | Shots | 9 |
| 8 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 3 |
| 21 | Fouls | 7 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.28 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.80 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| 3.00 |
| coach days | 175.00 | 22.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 1.85 | 2.55 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.19 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1584.20 | 1425.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 35.20 | -36.37 |
| eye test v1 | 0.90 | -0.09 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.25 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.70 | 43.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 13.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.40 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.91 | 0.70 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.60 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| league points | 28.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 2.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 82.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 55.20 |
| rest days | 14.00 | 12.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 2.15 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.48 | 0.76 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 6.10 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 3.80 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | 0.81 | -0.83 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.51 | 0.58 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.35 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.00 |