← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 23, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Monaldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro win | 50% | 1.96 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Mantova win | 23% | 4.51 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Mantova −0.5 | 51% | 1.93 |
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 49% | 1.97 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.80 |
| Over | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 7' | ⚽ | Davide Bragantini · Mantova |
| 23' | 🟨 | Matteo Solini · Mantova |
| 26' | ⚽ | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 37' | 🟨 | Antonio Fiori · Mantova |
| 41' | 🟨 | Ilias Koutsoupias · Catanzaro |
| 45' | 🟨 | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
| 60' | 🟥 | Stefano Cella · Mantova |
| 63' | 🟨 | Sebastien De Maio · Mantova |
| 65' | ⚽ | Davide Bragantini · Mantova |
| 79' | ⚽ | Nicolò Buso · Catanzaro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 89' | 🟨 | Davis Mensah · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 13 | Shots | 13 |
| 2 | On target | 7 |
| 8 | Corners | 3 |
| 15 | Fouls | 21 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.21 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.26 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.48 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.40 |
| coach days | 145.00 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| 511.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.15 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.03 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.38 |
| elo | 1502.37 | 1476.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 12.46 | -2.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.44 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.12 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.90 | 54.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.70 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.77 | — |
| league points | 15.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 87.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.20 | 63.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 13.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.15 | 1.23 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -6.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 1.39 | 1.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 2.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.80 |
| state index | 0.13 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.96 | 1.77 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.20 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.18 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.20 |