← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Nov 9, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Santoro
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 40% | 2.47 |
| Draw | 32% | 3.25 |
| Cosenza win | 29% | 3.61 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Brescia −0.25 | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.70 |
| Over | 43% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 3' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 11' | 🟨 | Michele Besaggio · Brescia |
| 31' | 🟨 | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 34' | ⚽ | Massimo Zilli · Cosenza |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Simone Mazzocchi · Cosenza |
| 57' | 🟨 | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 59' | 🟨 | Niccolò Corrado · Brescia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Alexander Jallow · Brescia |
| 66' | 🟨 | Michael Venturi · Cosenza |
| 77' | ⚽ | Birkir Bjarnason · Brescia |
| 80' | 🟨 | Alessandro Caporale · Cosenza |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Flavio Bianchi · Brescia |
| 90' | ⚽ | Charlys · Cosenza |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 19 | Shots | 14 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 6 | Corners | 0 |
| 15 | Fouls | 13 |
| 6 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cosenza |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.36 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.29 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.54 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 4.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 374.00 | 161.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.08 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.48 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1456.90 | 1447.39 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -13.43 | -10.22 |
| eye test v1 | 0.33 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.41 | -0.10 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.27 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.79 |
| league points | 17.00 | 15.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 9.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.00 | 75.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.00 | 49.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.13 | 0.22 |
| season ppg | 1.42 | 1.25 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.00 | 15.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | -0.23 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.87 | -0.43 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.29 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |