← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 54% | 1.78 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
| Cittadella win | 20% | 5.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Palermo −0.75 | 48% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.88 |
| Over | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 9' | 🟨 | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 60' | 🟨 | Valerio Verre · Palermo |
| 75' | 🟨 | Claudio Gomes · Palermo |
| 84' | 🟨 | Alessandro Salvi · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
| 90' | ⚽ | Luca Pandolfi · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 20 | Shots | 10 |
| 6 | On target | 4 |
| 1 | Corners | 2 |
| 11 | Fouls | 10 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.32 | 0.16 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.72 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 155.00 | 33.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.68 | 2.54 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.15 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.54 |
| elo | 1499.64 | 1392.30 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 14.76 | -30.25 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | -0.32 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.06 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.20 | 53.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | -1.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 2.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.23 | 0.53 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.80 | 0.79 |
| league points | 16.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 6.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 48.40 | 47.20 |
| rest days | 3.77 | 3.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.27 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.45 | 0.91 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | 14.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.41 | -0.05 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| state index | 0.16 | -1.06 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.11 | -0.47 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.20 |