← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Nov 3, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Aureliano
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cosenza win | 39% | 2.47 |
| Salernitana win | 30% | 3.50 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.25 | 53% | 1.85 |
| Cosenza −0.25 | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 57% | 1.68 |
| Over | 43% | 2.29 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 37' | ⚽ | Aldo Florenzi · Cosenza |
| 39' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 40' | 🟨 | Giacomo Ricci · Cosenza |
| 47' | 🟨 | Pietro Martino · Cosenza |
| 64' | ⚽ (pen) | Daniele Verde · Salernitana |
| 66' | 🟨 | Christian Kouan · Cosenza |
| 67' | 🟨 | Szymon Włodarczyk · Salernitana |
| 68' | 🟨 | Jayden Braaf · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 7 |
| 2 | On target | 2 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 16 | Fouls | 19 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cosenza | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.50 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| venue | Stadio San Vito-Luigi Marulla |
| coach days | 155.00 | 2.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.49 | 2.17 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1449.37 | 1439.68 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.10 | -9.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.16 | -0.27 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.38 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 47.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.40 | 0.50 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.81 | 0.59 |
| league points | 14.00 | 12.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 83.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.20 | 53.80 |
| rest days | 4.77 | 4.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.27 | 1.09 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 10.40 |
| skill v1 | -0.13 | 0.84 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 4.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.27 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.26 | 0.84 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |