← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 27, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Di Marco
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 37% | 2.62 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 32% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0.25 | 55% | 1.79 |
| Pisa +0.25 | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.65 |
| Over | 41% | 2.35 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | 🟥 | Alejandro Cichero · Frosinone Calcio |
| 32' | 🟨 | Adrian Rus · Pisa |
| 36' | 🟨 | Alexander Lind · Pisa |
| 45' | 🟨 | Riccardo Marchizza · Frosinone Calcio |
| 63' | 🟨 | Davide Biraschi · Frosinone Calcio |
| 86' | 🟨 | Samuele Angori · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Kevin Barcella · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 11 | Shots | 20 |
| 3 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 13 |
| 15 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 26.00 | 118.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.18 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -3.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | 2.39 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.14 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.61 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1488.48 | 1496.90 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -66.67 | 27.36 |
| eye test v1 | -0.02 | -0.18 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.29 | -0.21 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 49.20 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 12.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.84 | 0.92 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.73 |
| league points | 6.00 | 20.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 73.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 52.20 | 39.00 |
| rest days | 7.04 | 8.04 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.23 |
| season ppg | 0.67 | 2.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 15.80 | 10.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | -1.09 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 3.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.00 |
| state index | -0.87 | 0.28 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.14 | -0.91 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.26 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.40 |