← Premier League 2003-04 · Wed, May 12, 02:00 PM UTC · ref: G Poll
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Newcastle win | 44% | 2.20 |
| Southampton win | 30% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.60 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 15 | Shots | 22 |
| 12 | On target | 12 |
| 3 | Corners | 5 |
| 13 | Fouls | 16 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Southampton | Newcastle |
|---|---|---|
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.60 |
| coach days | 954.00 | — |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.03 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.18 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1572.57 | 1662.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.31 | -4.23 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 6.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.60 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.26 | 1.45 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.40 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| league points | 46.00 | 54.00 |
| league rank | 12.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| rest days | 4.00 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.28 | 1.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -4.00 | 0.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| state index | -0.20 | 0.42 |
| travel km | — | 452.80 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.40 |