← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Cosso
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 54% | 1.80 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.78 |
| Salernitana win | 21% | 4.96 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.75 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Cremonese −0.75 | 50% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 52% | 1.87 |
| Under | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 11' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 12' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 20' | ⚽ | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 45' | ⚽ | Federico Bonazzoli · Cremonese |
| 54' | 🟨 | Luca Zanimacchia · Cremonese |
| 55' | ⚽ | Gian Marco Ferrari · Salernitana |
| 58' | 🟨 | Matteo Bianchetti · Cremonese |
| 71' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Salernitana |
| 83' | 🟨 | Jayden Braaf · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 2 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 6 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.40 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.37 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.65 | 0.49 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 3.80 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 25.00 | 117.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.42 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.56 | 0.57 |
| elo | 1557.21 | 1446.12 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.14 | -13.57 |
| eye test v1 | 0.61 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.40 | -0.43 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 50.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.25 | 1.25 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.90 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.65 |
| league points | 14.00 | 11.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 12.00 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 7.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 60.00 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.25 |
| season ppg | 1.56 | 1.22 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 2.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 16.20 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | 1.11 | 1.44 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 6.33 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.20 | -0.29 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.54 | 1.16 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.31 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.21 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |