← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 26, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 52% | 1.91 |
| Draw | 26% | 3.70 |
| Brescia win | 22% | 4.87 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.75 | 52% | 1.87 |
| Cesena −0.75 | 48% | 2.04 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.83 |
| Under | 47% | 2.07 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Elayis Tavsan · Cesena |
| 15' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 18' | 🟨 | Simone Bastoni · Cesena |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 53' | ⚽ (pen) | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 54' | 🟨 | Matteo Pisseri · Cesena |
| 76' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Giuseppe Prestia · Cesena |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 17 |
| 5 | On target | 2 |
| 5 | Corners | 7 |
| 13 | Fouls | 19 |
| 5 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.43 | 0.44 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.44 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.69 | 0.68 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.40 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 117.00 | 360.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 1.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.51 | 2.28 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.11 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.48 |
| elo | 1453.25 | 1455.67 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.24 | 10.14 |
| eye test v1 | 0.75 | 0.98 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | 0.02 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 57.50 | 54.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 1.26 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.57 | 0.67 |
| league points | 11.00 | 13.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 6.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.20 | 78.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.00 | 43.80 |
| rest days | 5.91 | 6.91 |
| scorer concentration | 0.21 | 0.15 |
| season ppg | 1.22 | 1.44 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | -2.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.00 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.60 | -0.27 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.90 | 5.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 6.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.20 |
| state index | -0.41 | -0.21 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.19 | -0.92 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.33 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.33 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |