← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 20, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: G. Scatena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana win | 37% | 2.63 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 32% | 3.09 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Reggiana +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.63 |
| Over | 41% | 2.38 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Alessandro Fontanarosa · Reggiana |
| 14' | ⚽ | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 35' | 🟨 | Natan Girma · Reggiana |
| 37' | 🟨 | Francesco Gelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 66' | ⚽ (pen) | Luca Vido · Reggiana |
| 77' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Lucchesi · Reggiana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Leo Štulac · Reggiana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 8 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 0 | Corners | 8 |
| 19 | Fouls | 10 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Reggiana | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.25 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.67 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 3.20 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 111.00 | 19.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.03 | 0.02 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.32 | 2.71 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.17 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1409.22 | 1505.02 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -27.66 | -55.16 |
| eye test v1 | -0.03 | -0.04 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.27 | -0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.60 | 54.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 2.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | -1.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.79 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.74 |
| league points | 9.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 5.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 83.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.80 | 51.20 |
| rest days | 15.00 | 15.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.13 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 15.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.52 | 0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.73 | -0.50 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.47 | -0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.39 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.40 |