← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 19, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 37% | 2.64 |
| Spezia win | 32% | 3.20 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.20 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Spezia −0.25 | 55% | 1.78 |
| Salernitana −0.25 | 45% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.40 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 52' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 53' | 🟨 | Giulio Maggiore · Salernitana |
| 54' | ⚽ | Edoardo Soleri · Spezia |
| 73' | ⚽ | Nicolò Bertola · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Gian Marco Ferrari · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Luca Vignali · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 5 | Corners | 9 |
| 9 | Fouls | 15 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.41 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.61 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 110.00 | 353.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 3.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 4.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.75 | 4.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.07 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1461.65 | 1509.27 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -5.55 | 32.32 |
| eye test v1 | 0.24 | 0.14 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.57 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.10 | 51.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.17 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.65 | 0.72 |
| league points | 11.00 | 16.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.20 | 75.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 56.60 | 42.80 |
| rest days | 13.00 | 14.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.25 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.38 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 10.00 | 13.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.24 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| state index | -0.11 | 0.33 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.27 | -0.94 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.22 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.20 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.18 | 0.31 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.00 |