← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Oct 6, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Dionisi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Palermo win | 48% | 1.99 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.50 |
| Salernitana win | 24% | 4.16 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana −0.5 | 51% | 1.91 |
| Palermo −0.5 | 49% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 51% | 1.91 |
| Over | 49% | 1.98 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 19' | 🟨 | Roberto Soriano · Salernitana |
| 21' | ⚽ | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 34' | 🟨 | Jacopo Segre · Palermo |
| 69' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Amatucci · Salernitana |
| 79' | 🟨 | Jayden Braaf · Salernitana |
| 82' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 88' | 🟨 | Thomas Henry · Palermo |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ajdin Hrustić · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 16 | Shots | 9 |
| 5 | On target | 4 |
| 4 | Corners | 2 |
| 16 | Fouls | 22 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 5 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Palermo | Salernitana |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.37 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.42 | 0.46 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.42 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.57 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 3.20 |
| venue | Stadio Renzo Barbera |
| coach days | 127.00 | 97.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 3.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 1.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.80 | 5.20 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.77 | 2.57 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.13 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1501.71 | 1448.50 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 42.41 | -9.63 |
| eye test v1 | 0.23 | 0.74 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.08 | 0.14 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 47.10 | 50.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.20 | 1.17 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 1.00 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | 0.10 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.83 | 0.63 |
| league points | 11.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 7.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.60 | 86.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.60 | 58.60 |
| rest days | 5.81 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.57 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.00 | 4.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 13.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.02 | 1.42 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.70 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.33 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.36 | -0.44 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.16 | 0.98 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.60 |