← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: M. Perri
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 57% | 1.67 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.87 |
| Cittadella win | 18% | 5.54 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio −0.75 | 52% | 1.88 |
| Cittadella −0.75 | 48% | 2.03 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.93 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 4' | ⚽ | Samuele Mulattieri · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 17' | ⚽ | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 34' | 🟨 | Alessio Vita · Cittadella |
| 41' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 51' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 55' | ⚽ | Cristian Volpato · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Kristian Thorstvedt · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 68' | ⚽ | Nicholas Pierini · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 72' | ⚽ (pen) | Armand Laurienté · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 82' | ⚽ | Kristian Thorstvedt · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 88' |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 19 | Shots | 11 |
| 13 | On target | 4 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 5 |
| 0 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.33 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.22 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| 🟨 |
| Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 3.80 |
| coach days | 126.00 | 4.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.20 | -0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.08 | 2.53 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.05 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.42 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1538.77 | 1413.31 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 1.29 | -3.47 |
| eye test v1 | -0.04 | -0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.22 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 50.50 | 53.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 0.48 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.50 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.35 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.85 |
| league points | 12.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 5.00 | 15.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 81.00 | 75.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.80 | 44.80 |
| rest days | 7.00 | 7.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 1.71 | 1.14 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -5.40 | -4.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.80 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.39 | -0.53 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.00 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 2.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.20 | 3.20 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | -0.04 | -0.46 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.32 | -0.34 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.20 |