← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Oct 5, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: A. Arena
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 50% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.50 |
| Carrarese win | 23% | 4.32 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Carrarese −0.5 | 50% | 1.93 |
| Frosinone Calcio −0.5 | 50% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.79 |
| Over | 46% | 2.11 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| -5' | 🟨 | Luigi Canotto · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | 🟨 | Devid Eugene Bouah · Carrarese |
| 49' | 🟨 | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 64' | ⚽ | Manuel Cicconi · Carrarese |
| 67' | 🟨 | Nicolas Schiavi · Carrarese |
| 70' | 🟨 | Matteo Cichella · Frosinone Calcio |
| 88' | 🟨 | Riccardo Palmieri · Carrarese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 15 | Shots | 4 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 6 | Corners | 5 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Carrarese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.36 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 4.00 | 278.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.04 | 0.10 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -2.00 | 0.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.88 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.14 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.55 | 0.44 |
| elo | 1518.48 | 1452.97 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.56 | -30.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.02 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.32 | 0.45 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.70 | 56.57 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.20 | -0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.82 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.70 | 0.75 |
| league points | 6.00 | 4.00 |
| league rank | 19.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 4.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 82.80 | 77.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.40 | 49.60 |
| rest days | 7.77 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.40 | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.86 | 0.57 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 3.40 | -3.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.40 | 12.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.46 | 0.02 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 6.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 3.71 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 5.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.56 | -0.77 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | — |