← Serie B 2024-25 · Mon, Sep 30, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: G. Ayroldi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 39% | 2.45 |
| Draw | 31% | 3.12 |
| Brescia win | 30% | 3.29 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0.25 | 54% | 1.84 |
| Cremonese +0.25 | 46% | 2.10 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.22 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 6' | ⚽ | Michele Besaggio · Brescia |
| 13' | 🟨 | Andrea Cistana · Brescia |
| 34' | ⚽ | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 36' | 🟨 | Dennis Johnsen · Cremonese |
| 38' | 🟨 | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
| 39' | ⚽ | Matthias Verreth · Brescia |
| 42' | 🟨 | Ante Matej Jurić · Brescia |
| 70' | ⚽ | Marco Nasti · Cremonese |
| 81' | ⚽ | Cristian Buonaiuto · Cremonese |
| 86' | 🟨 | Matthias Verreth · Brescia |
| 86' | 🟨 | Jari Vandeputte · Cremonese |
| 90' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Dickmann · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 19 |
| 7 | On target | 7 |
| 9 | Corners | 5 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.34 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.45 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.39 | 0.34 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.68 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.20 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 334.00 | 395.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.13 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.10 | 2.26 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.60 |
| elo | 1459.04 | 1564.00 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -0.29 | 19.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.21 | -0.04 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.30 | 54.90 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 10.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.51 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.70 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.80 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.69 | 0.72 |
| league points | 9.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 7.00 |
| matches since blank | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.40 | 86.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 60.60 |
| rest days | 9.23 | 10.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.29 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 5.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.60 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | 0.40 | 1.48 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.20 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.52 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.17 | 1.03 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |