← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Marinelli
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 46% | 2.15 |
| Draw | 27% | 3.49 |
| Catanzaro win | 26% | 4.01 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Catanzaro −0.5 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Salernitana −0.5 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.89 |
| Over | 48% | 2.00 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 15' | 🟨 | Nicolò Brighenti · Catanzaro |
| 53' | 🟨 | Roberto Soriano · Salernitana |
| 55' | 🟨 | Stefano Scognamillo · Catanzaro |
| 87' | 🟨 | Andrés Tello · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ernesto Torregrossa · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 3 |
| 3 | On target | 0 |
| 5 | Corners | 0 |
| 13 | Fouls | 15 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Catanzaro |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.37 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.52 | — |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.44 | — |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.58 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 2.20 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 90.00 | 90.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.10 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 2.40 | -1.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 3.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.90 | 3.19 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.52 | 0.47 |
| elo | 1448.97 | 1492.79 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -17.14 | -16.39 |
| eye test v1 | 0.73 | -0.28 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.10 | -0.00 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.10 | 59.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.40 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.08 | 1.34 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 1.00 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | — | 0.74 |
| league points | 7.00 | 6.00 |
| league rank | 17.00 | 18.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 2.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 86.80 | 81.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 58.60 | 53.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.77 |
| scorer concentration | 0.29 | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.17 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.00 | -1.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.00 | 11.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.42 | 0.62 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.70 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.47 | -0.39 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.09 | 0.61 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.24 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.17 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.22 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |