← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 29, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Chiffi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena win | 56% | 1.75 |
| Draw | 25% | 3.80 |
| Mantova win | 19% | 5.78 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.75 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Mantova −0.75 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 53% | 1.85 |
| Under | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Cristian Shpendi · Cesena |
| 12' | 🟨 | Simone Trimboli · Mantova |
| 21' | ⚽ | Augustus Kargbo · Cesena |
| 32' | 🟨 | Augustus Kargbo · Cesena |
| 43' | ⚽ | Giuseppe Prestia · Cesena |
| 45' | 🟨 | Giacomo Calò · Cesena |
| 58' | ⚽ | Alex Redolfi · Mantova |
| 70' | ⚽ | Elayis Tavsan · Cesena |
| 77' | 🟨 | Massimiliano Mangraviti · Cesena |
| 84' | ⚽ | Francesco Ruocco · Mantova |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 16 | Shots | 16 |
| 9 | On target | 5 |
| 5 | Corners | 8 |
| 10 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cesena | Mantova |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.45 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.46 | 0.26 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.43 | 0.32 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.62 | 0.43 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.80 |
| venue | Orogel Stadium-Dino Manuzzi |
| coach days | 90.00 | 456.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 4.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.47 | — |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.51 |
| elo | 1469.99 | 1494.28 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -1.38 | -4.82 |
| eye test v1 | 0.95 | -0.16 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.03 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.00 | 58.17 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | — |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.20 | — |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.72 | 0.74 |
| league points | 8.00 | 10.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.00 | 85.40 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 51.80 | 61.20 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.17 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 1.67 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 1.80 | -0.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.60 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.64 | 1.46 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.40 | 3.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.80 | 3.50 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.67 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.00 | -0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.00 | 1.36 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.20 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.29 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.60 | — |