← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 27, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: V. Crezzini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella win | 38% | 2.60 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 33% | 3.16 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cittadella +0 | 55% | 1.74 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 45% | 2.20 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.15 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 12' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Frosinone Calcio |
| 27' | 🟨 | Mario Ravasio · Cittadella |
| 35' | ⚽ | Anthony Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 50' | 🟨 | Simone Branca · Cittadella |
| 50' | 🟨 | Luca Garritano · Frosinone Calcio |
| 63' | ⚽ (pen) | Anthony Partipilo · Frosinone Calcio |
| 70' | ⚽ | Claudio Cassano · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Claudio Cassano · Cittadella |
| 87' | 🟨 | Simone Rabbi · Cittadella |
| 90' | 🟨 | Tjaš Begić · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 12 | Shots | 17 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 4 |
| 12 | Fouls | 16 |
| 4 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cittadella | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.34 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.24 | 0.27 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 3.40 |
| venue | Stadio Pier Cesare Tombolato |
| coach days | 1184.00 | 88.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.04 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 3.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.31 | 3.02 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.02 | 0.16 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | 0.52 |
| elo | 1422.55 | 1509.25 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 18.98 | -67.29 |
| eye test v1 | -0.53 | -0.24 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.04 | -0.52 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 56.10 | 59.40 |
| form points (last 5) | 8.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | -1.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 2.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.48 | 0.71 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.20 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.70 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.89 | 0.51 |
| league points | 8.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 11.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 2.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 75.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 43.20 | 48.80 |
| rest days | 5.23 | 5.23 |
| season ppg | 1.33 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -3.60 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.60 | 12.60 |
| skill v1 | -0.58 | 0.32 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.40 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.15 | -1.00 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.66 | 0.00 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.28 | 0.26 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.00 |