← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 22, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio win | 38% | 2.66 |
| Bari win | 33% | 2.93 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 53% | 1.86 |
| Bari +0 | 47% | 2.05 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.17 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 32' | 🟨 | Andrea Oliveri · Bari |
| 35' | 🟨 | Sergio Kalaj · Frosinone Calcio |
| 44' | 🟨 | Jérémy Oyono · Frosinone Calcio |
| 45' | ⚽ | Mattia Maita · Bari |
| 53' | ⚽ | Mehdi Dorval · Bari |
| 65' | ⚽ | Andrea Favilli · Bari |
| 89' | 🟨 | Frank Tsadjout · Frosinone Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 26 | Shots | 13 |
| 6 | On target | 8 |
| 3 | Corners | 3 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Frosinone Calcio | Bari |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.35 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.28 | 0.20 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.24 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.62 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 2.80 |
| venue | Stadio Benito Stirpe |
| coach days | 83.00 | 113.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.07 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 6.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.95 | 3.40 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.62 |
| elo | 1533.74 | 1446.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -46.73 | -8.47 |
| eye test v1 | 0.07 | 0.47 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.80 | 0.03 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 46.10 |
| form points (last 5) | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -1.00 | -0.20 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.03 | 0.82 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.60 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.49 | 0.68 |
| league points | 3.00 | 5.00 |
| league rank | 20.00 | 17.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 80.60 | 84.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 49.20 | 52.80 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 8.00 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.20 |
| season ppg | 0.60 | 1.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 7.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 18.80 |
| skill v1 | 0.25 | 0.81 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.00 | 4.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 2.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 4.40 |
| state index | -0.75 | -0.09 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.23 | -0.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.19 | 0.42 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.35 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.60 | 1.00 |