← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 21, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: F. Fourneau
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 49% | 1.98 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.40 |
| Brescia win | 22% | 4.58 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.5 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Pisa −0.5 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 56% | 1.71 |
| Over | 44% | 2.23 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Gabriele Piccinini · Pisa |
| 33' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Pisa |
| 48' | ⚽ | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
| 50' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 78' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 83' | 🟨 | Gennaro Borrelli · Brescia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 14 |
| 5 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 4 |
| 6 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Pisa | Brescia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.32 | 0.31 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.38 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.64 | 0.64 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 2.40 |
| venue | Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani |
| coach days | 82.00 | 325.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.05 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.17 | 0.15 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -0.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 5.20 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.01 | 2.08 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.06 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.58 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1480.97 | 1466.94 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 31.63 | 16.80 |
| eye test v1 | 0.01 | 0.56 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.12 | -0.15 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.67 | 1.58 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.80 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.72 |
| league points | 11.00 | 9.00 |
| league rank | 1.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 20.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 72.40 | 80.20 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 40.00 | 48.00 |
| rest days | 5.90 | 7.00 |
| scorer concentration | 0.38 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 2.20 | 1.80 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 1.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 14.20 | 14.40 |
| skill v1 | -1.10 | 0.14 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.10 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.67 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| state index | 0.37 | 0.10 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -1.53 | -0.39 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.35 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |