← Serie B 2024-25 · Fri, Sep 20, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: I. Pezzuto
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 38% | 2.70 |
| Catanzaro win | 33% | 3.10 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese +0 | 51% | 1.92 |
| Catanzaro +0 | 49% | 1.99 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Over | 50% | 1.95 |
| Under | 50% | 1.95 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 5' | ⚽ | Michele Castagnetti · Cremonese |
| 20' | 🟨 | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 28' | ⚽ | Mattia Compagnon · Catanzaro |
| 35' | 🟨 | Pietro Iemmello · Catanzaro |
| 51' | 🟨 | Valentin Antov · Cremonese |
| 69' | 🟨 | Tommaso Cassandro · Catanzaro |
| 78' | 🟨 | Lorenzo Moretti · Cremonese |
| 85' | 🟨 | Franco Vázquez · Cremonese |
| 88' | ⚽ | Tommaso Barbieri · Cremonese |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 1 |
| 8 | Shots | 18 |
| 3 | On target | 3 |
| 4 | Corners | 6 |
| 22 | Fouls | 15 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Catanzaro | Cremonese |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.29 | 0.39 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.33 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.66 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 0.80 |
| venue | Stadio Nicola Ceravolo |
| coach days | 81.00 | 385.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | — | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.06 | 0.11 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.80 | 0.40 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 5.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.21 | 2.36 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.09 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | 0.53 |
| elo | 1503.06 | 1553.73 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -7.29 | -1.70 |
| eye test v1 | -0.19 | -0.03 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.22 | -0.12 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 59.40 | 52.80 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.40 | 1.65 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | — | 0.70 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | — | 0.35 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.75 | 0.73 |
| league points | 6.00 | 7.00 |
| league rank | 15.00 | 11.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 3.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 83.40 | 85.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 54.80 | 62.40 |
| rest days | 6.23 | 6.23 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | 12.20 |
| skill v1 | 0.87 | 1.56 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.80 | 5.20 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.00 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.80 |
| state index | -0.01 | 0.13 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.77 | 1.40 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.23 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.23 | 0.21 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.21 | 0.19 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.00 |