← Serie B 2024-25 · Sun, Sep 15, 03:30 PM UTC · ref: K. Bonacina
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa win | 38% | 2.75 |
| Salernitana win | 33% | 3.25 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Pisa +0 | 57% | 1.69 |
| Salernitana +0 | 43% | 2.28 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 53% | 1.83 |
| Over | 47% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 2' | ⚽ | Nicholas Bonfanti · Pisa |
| 14' | ⚽ | Franco Tongya · Salernitana |
| 33' | 🟨 | Giovanni Bonfanti · Pisa |
| 43' | 🟨 | Petar Stojanović · Salernitana |
| 45' | 🟨 | Daniele Verde · Salernitana |
| 45' | ⚽ (pen) | Nicholas Bonfanti · Pisa |
| 47' | 🟨 | Oliver Abildgaard · Pisa |
| 62' | ⚽ | Matteo Tramoni · Pisa |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicola Dalmonte · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Adrian Šemper · Pisa |
| 90' | ⚽ (pen) | Simy · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 12 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 5 |
| 8 | Corners | 0 |
| 8 | Fouls | 17 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 3 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Pisa |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.37 | 0.28 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.53 | 0.65 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.40 | 1.40 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 76.00 | 76.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.14 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.60 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 4.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.79 | 2.63 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.15 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.49 | — |
| elo | 1459.69 | 1469.54 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 9.00 | 11.16 |
| eye test v1 | 0.51 | -0.07 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.20 | 0.05 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 53.70 | 60.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 8.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | 0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.16 | 0.67 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.60 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.64 | 0.73 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 14.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since blank | 0.00 | 20.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 19.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.20 | 74.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 53.60 | 48.60 |
| rest days | 13.88 | 14.88 |
| scorer concentration | 0.33 | 0.33 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.40 | — |
| skill v1 | 0.96 | -0.34 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 3.60 |
| state index | -0.16 | -0.12 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 0.40 | -0.75 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.22 | 0.38 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.26 | 0.32 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |