← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Perenzoni
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese win | 47% | 2.09 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Spezia win | 26% | 3.86 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cremonese −0.25 | 54% | 1.80 |
| Spezia −0.25 | 46% | 2.13 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 52% | 1.85 |
| Over | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 33' | ⚽ | Michele Collocolo · Cremonese |
| 64' | 🟨 | Zan Majer · Cremonese |
| 65' | ⚽ | Petko Hristov · Spezia |
| 71' | 🟨 | Filippo Bandinelli · Spezia |
| 76' | 🟨 | Duccio Degli Innocenti · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Ádám Nagy · Spezia |
| 90' | 🟨 | Nicolò Bertola · Spezia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 9 | Shots | 11 |
| 4 | On target | 5 |
| 2 | Corners | 3 |
| 11 | Fouls | 14 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Cremonese | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.39 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.34 | 0.41 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.05 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.63 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 2.00 |
| venue | Stadio Giovanni Zini |
| coach days | 379.00 | 318.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.10 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.16 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.20 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 4.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.36 | 3.92 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.07 | 0.08 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.39 |
| elo | 1557.35 | 1485.29 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.03 | 33.95 |
| eye test v1 | 0.19 | 0.54 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.28 | -0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.80 | 52.70 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.65 | 0.99 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.70 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.80 | 0.20 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.05 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.73 | 0.74 |
| league points | 6.00 | 8.00 |
| league rank | 13.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 85.00 | 73.80 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 61.80 | 45.60 |
| rest days | 13.77 | 12.77 |
| scorer concentration | — | 0.40 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 2.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 2.20 | -5.80 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.80 | 9.20 |
| skill v1 | 1.47 | -0.61 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.60 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 5.60 | 4.90 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 4.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.60 |
| state index | 0.25 | 0.05 |
| sterile dominance v1 | 1.14 | -0.79 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.31 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.22 | 0.30 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.00 | 0.80 |