← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Sep 14, 01:00 PM UTC · ref: D. Ghersini
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 39% | 2.51 |
| Frosinone Calcio win | 31% | 3.18 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia +0 | 56% | 1.74 |
| Frosinone Calcio +0 | 44% | 2.21 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.75 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 7' | ⚽ | Ante Matej Jurić · Brescia |
| 19' | ⚽ | Ante Matej Jurić · Brescia |
| 35' | ⚽ | Giacomo Olzer · Brescia |
| 47' | 🟨 | Ebrima Darboe · Frosinone Calcio |
| 53' | 🟨 | Michele Besaggio · Brescia |
| 57' | 🟥 | Ebrima Darboe · Frosinone Calcio |
| 82' | 🟨 | Francesco Gelli · Frosinone Calcio |
| 83' | ⚽ (pen) | Gabriele Moncini · Brescia |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 3 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 14 | Shots | 8 |
| 7 | On target | 2 |
| 6 | Corners | 2 |
| 10 | Fouls | 15 |
| 1 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Frosinone Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.35 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.38 | 0.37 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | 0.15 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.59 | 0.58 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.20 | 2.60 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 318.00 | 75.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 3.00 | 3.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.11 | 0.06 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.60 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.60 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.28 | 2.73 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.08 | 0.10 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.50 | 0.55 |
| elo | 1445.53 | 1555.15 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -14.87 | -36.55 |
| eye test v1 | 0.65 | 0.41 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.02 | -0.73 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 55.00 | 62.60 |
| form points (last 5) | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.60 | -0.40 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.37 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.80 | 0.30 |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.20 | 0.25 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.71 | 0.72 |
| league points | 6.00 | 3.00 |
| league rank | 9.00 | 19.00 |
| matches since blank | 1.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.80 | 79.00 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 46.20 | 50.60 |
| rest days | 13.77 | 12.77 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.75 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | 0.60 | 3.00 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 13.80 | 14.00 |
| skill v1 | -0.20 | 0.19 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.20 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.40 | 5.10 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.33 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 5.20 |
| state index | -0.31 | -0.35 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.80 | -0.08 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.25 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.33 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.60 | 1.20 |