← Serie B 2024-25 · Tue, Aug 27, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: E. Feliciani
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana win | 38% | 2.57 |
| Sampdoria win | 33% | 2.99 |
| Draw | 29% | 3.30 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Salernitana +0 | 54% | 1.81 |
| Sampdoria +0 | 46% | 2.12 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 54% | 1.82 |
| Over | 46% | 2.08 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 1' | ⚽ | Simy · Salernitana |
| 4' | ⚽ | Gennaro Tutino · Sampdoria |
| 21' | ⚽ | Massimo Coda · Sampdoria |
| 60' | ⚽ | Diego Valencia · Salernitana |
| 85' | ⚽ | Jayden Braaf · Salernitana |
| 87' | 🟨 | Alessandro Bellemo · Sampdoria |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yayah Kallon · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟨 | Yayah Kallon · Salernitana |
| 90' | 🟥 | Yayah Kallon · Salernitana |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 2 |
| 24 | Shots | 13 |
| 8 | On target | 4 |
| 7 | Corners | 4 |
| 15 | Fouls | 9 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 1 |
| 1 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Salernitana | Sampdoria |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.31 | 0.32 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.38 | 0.24 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.29 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.53 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.80 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Arechi |
| coach days | 57.00 | 26.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.15 | 0.08 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -1.60 | 2.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 6.80 | 3.40 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.20 | 5.40 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.72 | 1.96 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.41 | 0.34 |
| elo | 1458.13 | 1485.76 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 7.13 | 2.08 |
| eye test v1 | -0.01 | 0.06 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.46 | -0.13 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 51.00 | 56.30 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 7.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.20 | 0.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.20 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.95 | 1.05 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | 0.30 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.10 | 0.15 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.67 | 0.76 |
| matches since blank | 6.00 | 0.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 17.00 | 4.00 |
| matches since win | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 79.80 | 81.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 50.00 | 51.60 |
| rest days | 3.04 | 3.00 |
| season ppg | 1.50 | 0.50 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -6.00 | -9.20 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 12.00 | 11.00 |
| skill v1 | 0.23 | 0.50 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 6.40 | 4.80 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.20 | 3.60 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 5.00 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 4.00 | 4.20 |
| squad age | — | 22.98 |
| state index | -0.32 | -0.30 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.07 | 0.09 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.25 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.26 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.27 | 0.27 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.60 |