← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: L. Massimi
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| US Sassuolo Calcio win | 44% | 2.41 |
| Draw | 28% | 3.40 |
| Cesena win | 28% | 4.00 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Cesena −0.25 | 52% | 1.85 |
| US Sassuolo Calcio −0.25 | 48% | 2.06 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 55% | 1.76 |
| Over | 45% | 2.16 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 10' | 🟨 | Marco Curto · Cesena |
| 34' | ⚽ | Janis Antiste · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 36' | 🟨 | Cas Odenthal · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 53' | ⚽ | Marco Curto · Cesena |
| 65' | ⚽ | Flavio Russo · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 74' | 🟨 | Janis Antiste · US Sassuolo Calcio |
| 80' | 🟨 | Tommaso Berti · Cesena |
| 90' | 🟨 | Daniel Boloca · US Sassuolo Calcio |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 1 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 13 | Shots | 23 |
| 6 | On target | 6 |
| 3 | Corners | 9 |
| 10 | Fouls | 14 |
| 3 | Yellow cards | 2 |
| 0 | Red cards | 0 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | US Sassuolo Calcio | Cesena |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.33 | 0.47 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.29 | 0.42 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.31 | 0.47 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.25 | 0.10 |
| box share (last 5) | 0.56 | — |
| cards avg (last 5) | 2.60 | 0.60 |
| venue | MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore |
| coach days | 84.00 | 54.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.00 | 0.00 |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.09 | 0.12 |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | 0.40 | -3.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 4.40 | 5.00 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 4.80 | 2.00 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 3.20 | 2.07 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.13 | 0.18 |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.46 | 0.43 |
| elo | 1530.78 | 1471.37 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | 4.53 | 31.59 |
| eye test v1 | -0.69 | -0.50 |
| eye trend v1 | -0.14 | 0.01 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 52.20 | 57.50 |
| form points (last 5) | 5.00 | 11.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | -0.40 | 0.60 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.20 | 0.40 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 0.88 | 1.03 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.40 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.30 | 0.20 |
| keeper form v1 | 0.74 | 0.68 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 4.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since win | 4.00 | 0.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 77.20 | — |
| possession avg (last 5) | 39.60 | 42.20 |
| rest days | 6.00 | 6.00 |
| season ppg | 1.00 | 3.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -1.40 | -3.40 |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 9.00 | 10.20 |
| skill v1 | -0.68 | — |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 3.20 | 3.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 3.50 | 4.00 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 3.00 | 4.33 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 3.00 | 3.60 |
| squad age | 25.91 | — |
| state index | -0.19 | 0.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.44 | 0.29 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.24 | 0.19 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.21 | 0.22 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.23 | 0.17 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 1.00 | 0.80 |