← Serie B 2024-25 · Sat, Aug 24, 06:30 PM UTC · ref: S. Galipò
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia win | 42% | 2.30 |
| Draw | 30% | 3.25 |
| Cittadella win | 28% | 3.79 |
across 3 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Brescia −0.25 | 51% | 1.89 |
| Cittadella −0.25 | 49% | 2.02 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| Outcome | Market says | Best price |
|---|---|---|
| Under | 59% | 1.62 |
| Over | 41% | 2.41 |
across 2 bookmakers · probabilities de-vigged (bookmaker margin removed)
| 27' | 🟨 | Matteo Angeli · Cittadella |
| 34' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 45' | 🟨 | Dimitri Bisoli · Brescia |
| 45' | 🟨 | Davide Adorni · Brescia |
| 58' | 🟨 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 58' | 🟥 | Nicola Pavan · Cittadella |
| 63' | ⚽ | Lorenzo Carissoni · Cittadella |
| 80' | 🟨 | Elhan Kastrati · Cittadella |
from ESPN event data · goals, cards and shootout kicks
| 0 | Half-time score | 0 |
| 18 | Shots | 15 |
| 6 | On target | 3 |
| 5 | Corners | 4 |
| 17 | Fouls | 8 |
| 2 | Yellow cards | 4 |
| 0 | Red cards | 1 |
What each side looked like walking in — computed only from games before this one.
| Metric | Brescia | Cittadella |
|---|---|---|
| accuracy ratio (last 10) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 3) | 0.27 | 0.38 |
| accuracy ratio (last 5) | 0.30 | 0.35 |
| blown lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| box share (last 5) | 0.54 | 0.63 |
| cards avg (last 5) | 0.20 | 1.00 |
| venue | Stadio Mario Rigamonti |
| coach days | 297.00 | 1150.00 |
| comeback rate (last 20) | 0.05 | — |
| congestion 21d | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| conversion (last 5) | 0.07 | — |
| corner diff avg (last 5) | -3.20 | 0.00 |
| corners against avg (last 5) | 8.20 | 4.80 |
| corners for avg (last 5) | 5.00 | 4.80 |
| corners volatility (last 10) | 2.63 | 2.46 |
| defensive leak (last 5) | 0.11 | — |
| dominance (last 5) | 0.45 | — |
| elo | 1459.33 | 1403.57 |
| elo momentum (last 5) | -6.96 | -24.84 |
| eye test v1 | 0.62 | -0.52 |
| eye trend v1 | 0.19 | 0.08 |
| first sub minute (last 10) | 58.90 | 55.20 |
| form points (last 5) | 7.00 | 2.00 |
| goal diff avg (last 5) | 0.00 | -1.00 |
| goals against avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| goals for avg (last 5) | 1.80 | 0.80 |
| goals volatility (last 10) | 1.43 | 0.63 |
| h2 goals (last 10) | 0.90 | — |
| h2h win rate (last 5) | 0.40 | 0.60 |
| ht lead rate (last 20) | 0.15 | — |
| keeper form v1 | 0.68 | 0.80 |
| matches since blank | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| matches since clean sheet | 0.00 | 5.00 |
| matches since win | 0.00 | 7.00 |
| pass acc avg (last 5) | 78.20 | 73.60 |
| possession avg (last 5) | 47.00 | 40.60 |
| rest days | 8.00 | 7.00 |
| season ppg | 3.00 | 0.00 |
| shot diff avg (last 5) | -2.80 | — |
| shots for avg (last 5) | 11.40 | — |
| skill v1 | -0.11 | -0.95 |
| sot against avg (last 5) | 5.60 | 6.00 |
| sot for avg (last 10) | 4.30 | 3.70 |
| sot for avg (last 3) | 4.67 | 3.67 |
| sot for avg (last 5) | 5.40 | 3.40 |
| state index | -0.05 | -1.02 |
| sterile dominance v1 | -0.97 | -0.59 |
| threat rate (last 10) | 0.30 | 0.23 |
| threat rate (last 3) | 0.36 | 0.25 |
| threat rate (last 5) | 0.36 | 0.24 |
| venue ppg (last 5) | 2.20 | 0.80 |